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2024-12-13 22:57:38

ECB sources: Some people think that the ECB overestimates economic growth. In the case of Trump's tariff increase, the economic growth next year may be less than 1%.Spot gold fell below $2,680 per ounce, down 1.38% in the day. COMEX gold futures fell 2.00% in the day and are now reported at $2701.50 per ounce.Goldman Sachs analysts predict that the European banking industry will be in a difficult situation in 2025. The challenges they face include low interest rates, slow growth and prominent political uncertainty.


CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.Intel executives: Over time, we may sell some of our positions in Mobileye.Israeli military officials: They are preparing for possible attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities. On the 12th local time, Israeli military officials said that with the weakening of Iran's proxy groups in the Middle East and the stepping down of the Syrian Assad regime, the Israeli Air Force is preparing for possible attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities. The Israeli army believes that "isolated Iran may further advance its nuclear program." At present, the Israeli Air Force has destroyed most of Syria's air defense systems and believes that there is now an opportunity to launch an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities.


Middle East Stock Market | On Thursday (December 12th), the all-share index of Saudi Stock Exchange closed down 0.41% to 12,099.33 points, up 1.40% this week. ARAMCO.AB closed down 0.35% to 28.45 Saudi riyals, up 1.79% this week. Albilad Southern Dongying MSCI Hong Kong China ETF listed in Saudi Arabia closed up 1.03% to 9.78 Saudi riyals, up 3.82% this week.ECB source: A few policy makers initially agreed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.Morgan stanley capital international's MSCI Nordic Countries Index fell 0.4% to 381.97. Evolution AB Group, an online gambling operator, fell 3.4%, which was the worst among the constituent stocks.

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